Every match of the World Cup, decoded by data.
CupIQ ingests millions of data points per match — xG, form, fatigue, travel, weather, lineups — and turns them into clear win probabilities and insights you can actually understand. No black box. Just the sharpest World Cup analytics on the planet.
Built for the people who take the
World Cup seriously.
Whether you're a fan settling debates, an analyst building a model, or a bettor hunting an edge — CupIQ gives you depth no broadcast graphic ever will.
Massive data ingestion
Our pipeline pulls in event-level data on every touch, pass, shot and pressing action — plus rankings, recent form, squad availability, travel distance between host cities, altitude, kickoff temperature and humidity. Over 11 million signals per fixture, refreshed continuously.
50,000-run match simulation
Every fixture is played out tens of thousands of times in a Monte Carlo engine, accounting for lineup strength, fatigue and game state. The result: calibrated win, draw and scoreline probabilities — not a pundit's gut feeling.
True xG & xGA models
Shot-quality models trained on a decade of international football, adjusted for opponent strength and tournament pressure.
Bracket & group projections
Live probability of advancing, winning the group, and lifting the trophy — updated after every result.
Total transparency
Every projection comes with the "why." See the exact factors driving each number. No black box, ever.
One match. Infinite depth.
Tap a scenario to watch the model re-weight in real time. This is a live sample of what you get on every fixture.
High agreement across simulations. Argentina's pressing structure exploits Mexico's build-up under pressure.
🧠 Why this number
Argentina ranks top-3 in progressive passes into the final third and converts 28% of high-value chances. Mexico concedes 1.4 xGA per match against top-10 sides. The model favors an early Argentina lead.
The deepest World Cup
dataset, made readable.
We don't just show you more numbers. We show you the ones that move the needle — and explain what they mean.
Opponent-adjusted expected goals for and against, weighted for tournament intensity.
Passes allowed per defensive action — how aggressively a side hunts the ball.
Historical and recent matchup dynamics, surface and venue weighted.
Minutes played, days of rest, and cross-host-city travel between fixtures.
Goals and threat generated from corners and free-kicks, per 90.
Post-shot xG minus goals conceded — who's actually overperforming.
Live momentum index tracking who's controlling the game right now.
Probability of advancing, winning the group, and lifting the cup.
Live signals,
match minute by minute.
During every game, CupIQ's feed updates win probabilities, momentum, and value alerts the instant the data changes. Watch the model think.
Get live access →Start free. See the whole tournament.
No hidden fees. Cancel anytime. The World Cup happens once every four years — don't watch it blind.
- ✓ Win probabilities for every match
- ✓ Group standings projections
- ✓ Daily match previews
- ✕ Advanced xG & simulation depth
- ✕ Live in-match feed
- ✓ Everything in Fan
- ✓ Full xG/xGA & 50k simulations
- ✓ Live in-match feed & momentum
- ✓ Bracket & trophy projections
- ✓ Per-team advanced metric deep-dives
- ✓ Everything in Analyst
- ✓ Full access through July 19
- ✓ Data export (CSV / API)
- ✓ Priority support
- ✓ Best value vs monthly
Trusted by 1,200+ fans, analysts and content creators across 40+ countries.
Questions, answered.
Is CupIQ a betting product?
Where does the data come from?
What exactly am I paying for?
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Do you cover every World Cup match?
Is there an API?
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